MarketClub Videos: Apple (APPL) Update for November 2008

I was looking over several charts this past weekend and I was shocked to recognize a chart formation playing out before my very eyes. I've seen this same formation a million times before, but I just didn't want to believe it could be happening to my favorite stock, Apple (NASDAQ_AAPL). Some would call this denial.

In the past I've written extensively about Apple products on this blog. If you have read any of these postings, you'd know how crazy I am about their products.

Several months ago I discovered a major technical formation that spelled trouble for Apple. I have to admit that I was saddened by this. This formation was also picked up by our "Trade Triangle" technology. Our algorithm triggered a sell signal and has continued to suggest a short position for Apple all this time.

I was surprised that we've seen this market come down so easily. It seems like every time I visit an Apple store they are always busy and their products always seem to be selling well.

The question is, are we at the end of the iPod era?

Given the chart formation, the double top and pivot point, it seems we are headed lower. The Pivot Point measures down to the $40-$50 range and Apple at $90 still has a long way to go on the downside.

What caught my eye this weekend was a weekly continuation pattern to the downside and the fact that Apple closed at a new weekly low for the year. This is not a bullish sign by any stretch of the imagination.

For this coming week, I expect to see further downside pressure on Apple. I believe that we are going to be looking at the $50-60 dollar range as our target zone. Of course everything within will be tempered by our "Trade Triangle" technology. When our short-term "Trade Triangle" turns positive, we will close out short positions and take to the sidelines. In my opinion, it's going to take some time for this market to improve and turn around. The technicals are just too weak at the moment.

Every success in trading,

Adam Hewison
President, INO.com
Co-creator, MarketClub

Published: 2008-11-17

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